“… If the individual can be led to believe he must … see his future as a battening down of all hatches and inner resources, as a boarding up of all his windows of perception, as a shrinking back into a cellar of waiting and bare survival, then he evacuates his position of strength….”
A new company called Bullet Blocker (a subdivision of MJ Safety Solutions) tailors a new generation of Kevlar into everyday clothing.
The hoodie provides slash-resistance for the major arteries in your body – the cartoid, brachial and abdmonial arteries – as well as the upper portion of the femoral arteries, and the jugular vein. So wearing it will help you survive a knife attack.
One of the fascinating questions someone should ask is about the extent to which modeling and simulation programs have been run for the issues of the evacuation of Florida.
I’ve had a long-standing interest in simulation and its application to problems of emergency management; it started in 1973 when, as an ambulance company dispatcher, I said “no” to the fellow who’d asked me to “send everything” to the site of an airplane crash 90 miles away. Playing tabletop war games depicting the Battle of the Bulge gave me a lucid introduction to time/space movement and logistics.
In the 80’s, while going back to grad school in communications to learn more about what they then called “interactive videodisc”, I wrote my first proposals for a simulation game system to teach the principles of mass casualty incident management and shipped copies to anyone whose name and address I could glean; I’d read about the simulation for armored warfare at an Army base in Texas and got a call from someone at the CIA wondering where I had gained access to that information and precisely what I knew. I gave him the precise citation; the book was on my desk. (I was naive back then, what you might call ‘a turnip who fell off the truck’.) I was challenged by an editor at a national publication in the field of emergency medical services and the “Rescue” article here in pdf format was the result. [insert “Rescue” article]
Some of the people who received that proposal (or its revamped brother) included staffers and elected officials at the White House, at the National League of Cities, at the International Association of Fire Chiefs (whose executive director was a professional colleague of mine), Howard Champion, M.D. (who had appeared at a trauma conference I ran for an society of emergency physicians and whose trauma scale formed the patient scoring engine for my simulation proposal), the Baltimore Shock-Trauma Institute, and others.
Mrs. Dan Quayle wrote back to say ‘thanks, but FEMA had everything well in hand’.
Dick Cheney got a copy of the second proposal in which I cautioned that any simulation could be turned on its head and used by people who wanted to conduct evil acts. He was already waay ahead of me.
Eventually, a copy was given to a young staffer who’d interned with the Bush 43 White House and who’d won a gig with the Office of Emergency Preparedness at the US Department of Justice. [Perhaps you can answer why the DOJ was interested in the state-of-the-art in national emergency preparedness; they developed extensive data bases for all the software programs then in use. Somehow, BreakAway games got a copy of the proposal and came up with http://www.breakawaygames.com/incident-commander/. That company would not let me play the game, and would not talk to me, despite the fact that their product was a kludge because a critical explanation of the “game engine” was purposefully left out of the proposal.
Is there a program that can simulate the evacuation of the state of Florida? They exist for many, many other applications, including large buildings, skyscrapers, etc. [Remember 9/11?]
Most people can’t afford to escape via plane. Anyone who has been to South Florida in a car, and those can read a map or watch the news, understands that the highway net out of South Florida is severely limited and that, being a peninsula, there is not a lot of space for lateral movement. Irma and Harvey, as was Katrina before it, can be seen as an attack on people at the poverty line, which has a racial and perhaps even a eugenics aura. The meme about their being too many people survives, and many of the elite are known Malthusian eugenicists.
“… “Madhu Beriwal equates disaster planning with marathon running. ‘You train and time yourself and figure out what you need to do to achieve it,’ she says. As the president of Innovative Emergency Management, Inc., in Baton Rouge, La., Beriwal knows about training for marathon-size catastrophes like Hurricane Katrina. Her company played a role in the Hurricane Pam simulation, which involved almost 300 officials getting ready for a major-category storm hitting New Orleans…..The report produced following “Hurricane Pam” was “designed to be the first step toward producing a comprehensive hurricane response plan, jointly approved and implemented by federal, state and city officials,” the Associated Press reported September 9, 2005. “But a lack of funding prohibited planners from quickly following up on the 2004 simulation. … ‘Money was not available to do the follow-up’,” then FEMA director Michael D. Brown said…..”
So when Irma was approaching the Leeward Islands, those who could have gotten out should have left then. Much has been said about the conversation between “government” and the people about evacuation. Evacuation won’t work unless you left a day or two before you should have.
Emergency preparedness information has been widely circulated by many; government agencies, preppers, et al. I wrote of this recently and followed my own advice; my wife and I discussed the issues in our household, talked about the most likely kinds of events or incidents we’d encounter, read two solid but basic articles on the topic of evacuation, and came up with a plan. We know where we’ll go, who we will meet when we get there, what resources are already at that location (including the all-important physical vitalities, as well as the mental capacities for configuring, engineering, problem-solving, etc.), and are busy configuring the rest of the plan.
That plan will include: 1) pharmaceuticals, medical data, first aid and trauma care; 2) pet care; 3) the laptop computer and cell phones; 4) a bag filled with chargers, and the hand-cranked SW and weather radio with which devices can be charged; 5) a three-ring binder with our life’s info, phone numbers, account numbers, etc., in a lock box, and as much cash as we can gather; 6) luggage with three changes of clothes, plus two-season, two-thickness outerwear, and secure and sturdy footwear.
Everyone should have done some thinking and communication and had a family discussion about those issues by now, had a packed bag or “go kit”, and know enough to go out and fill the gas tank and buy the water when the hurricane starts gaining strength in the Atlantic.
Florida apparently did not have a simulation on evacuation [ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evacuation_process_simulation ], this despite the fact that the US government, through its Department of Defense, had an active interest in simulation since as early as 1978, when flight simulation was developed at the Human Resources Laboratory at the Williams Air Force Base in Arizona. [This and further references, in addiiton to the links present, come from pages 253-258, 264-266, 269, 274, 315, 368-372, 375, 387, 398 and 451 of Annie Jacobsen’s book “the Pentagon’s Brain: An Uncensored History of DARPA, America’s Top-Secret Military Research Agency”.]
The brain behind the further development of this unique tool served as Chairman of DARPA’s Information Science and Technology advisory group. He envisioned “a three-dimensional, holographic, electronic sand table”; for some reason, he did not include the dimension of time. He envisoned “real-time dress rehearsals”, during which people could train in groups with the immediacy of real-time outcomes without severe consequences (the only wounds would be those to senior command ego). Said Colonel Jack Thorpe, such a system would allow the practice and learning of things you could not encounter, and in conditions you could not encounter, until you were faced with the reality of an extra-ordinary moment.
Thorpe and DARPA came up with SIMNET, described by Jacobsen [p. 257] as “an affordable, large-scale, free-play, force-on-force worldwide networked” “realization of cyberspace”, the world’s first massively multiplayer online role-playing game” [MMORPG].
“One of the most popular MMO’s is World of Warcraft” with ten millionactive users. “… in 2008, the CIA, NSA and DARPA launched a covert data-mining effort, called Project Reynard” to determine how they play and interact. [p. 258] Said Thorpe, “The behavior in a virtual world is the same behavior as the behavior in the real world.
When an article about local area developers for this approach appeared in the Boston Globe, I practiced my best short telephone ‘elevator speech’ and called the first company listed in the article. The receptionist said “oh, you want to talk to our CEO; he’s standing right here” and within two weeks I was a subject matter consultant on the development of a civilian emergency management training system with a pathogenic animal disease scenario. The focus was sharpened to an outbreak of avian influenza in Georgia’s poultry industry; when I did some telephonic research, the Georgia Bureau of Investigation took notice and called the project manager at MAK Technologies and told them to tell me to ‘quit it’.
He was the company’s developer of new business and a reserve Navy pilot to whom I introduced Boyd’s OODA loop. Later, he introduced me to one of his buddies who was involved in training a special elite military unit tasked with the response to Federal and State facilities in the event of an RBC event. We also talked about Summon The Magic, because we met at a ballgame where my daughter was playing, and he was impressed when I gave him my “poster on teamwork”.
The other sub-contractors on this DARPA Terrorist Studies Working Group project were the Georgisa Tech Research Institute and the University of Georgia’s College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences; they were in charge of the development of the print and classroom curriculum; our job (following their successful roll-out of MAGTF, the training game for Marine amphibious assault) was to develop the game.
Working with two software engineers, we developed and condensed a scenario and timeline that had five players, each playing five separate roles, responding to a two-week long event compressed into two hours of game time. The group’s task was to identify the source of the contagion and shut it down; if unable to do so, the disease would spread rapidly. 36 hours of virtual time was the red line; much beyond 14 minutes of real-time game itneraction would metastasize into health and economic failure.
The game engine, which I devised, came out of discussions with a British game developer in Montreal, having been a beta player of an e-mail game on organizational development designed with the input of a world-class game designer by the name of Thiagi, and several months of on-and-off immersion in the scenario.
The project was eventually cancelled despite our briefing the key people from TSWG and the USDA inside the Crystal Palace in Arlington; I was told it was because of financial improprieties at GTRI or UGA, but I suspect they found out I’d co-written the position paper by The Physicians for Social Responsibility on the civilian-military contingency hospital system, the Reagan-era plan for importing victims of a battlefield nuclear exchange in the Fulda Gap to East Coast Hopsitals; you can get a sense of that debate by reading the two New York Times letters below. The CMCHS was the twin sister for their Crisis Relocation Planning brainstorm that they could have the people in cities targeted by Russia get in their cars and drive to a twin city. (The new business pilot at MAK was, I sense, terminated for his failure to have vetted me properly. They finally heard from someone at Raytheon.)
Given DARPA’s own estimate of a 28-minute lead time before nuclear annihiliation, someone’s not thinking clearly. I trust you’ve seen the videos and photos of the traffic jams coming out of Miami.
DARPA and the Pentagon have moved on with games and simulations; the “Dark Winter” exercise was a major example.
See my IAEM paper:
Coalescing Effective Community Disaster Response: Simulation and Virtual Communities of Practice
Since the Bolt, Beranek and Newman TRADOC effort to train for the Battle of 73 Easting, major strides have been made in DARPA’s partnership with the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, the ability to survey, observe and scrutinze populations and their living spaces (page 269) (“born classified”). the use of surveillance and micro-sensing devices mounted on infrastructure to monitor motor vehicle and pedestrian streams, “to track everything that moves” (page 370), “using techniques similar to those for Google maps” (used for example on Main Supply Route Tampa out of Baghdad), the Stealthy Insect Sensor Project and other micro-UAV’s, and the collection of data from human terrain mapping programs (p. 394) all pumped through massive computers with “predictive modeling capabilities” (page 372) at a cost that clearly measures in the billions of dollars, we do not yet have an evacuation simulation program, or a game or a training system, but we do have Palantir and data-based “predictive” tools, https://boingboing.net/2017/09/08/weaponized-empiricism.html and now we have “an app” https://techcrunch.com/2017/09/10/zello-tops-us-app-store-as-the-walkie-talkie-for-hurricane-volunteers/.
This suggests to me that our system of elite governance, influenced by Wall Street and foreign countries, is more interested in spending its resources on war than on serving and protecting its own population during natural disasters.
Imagine what might happen when they turn all that capacity on the numerous forms of domestic insurgencies.
58 Books have been fully annotated and re-shelved
15 Books remain to be annotated (1 book has one sentence noted)
3 Books need to be read and annotated
10 Books have not been read and may not be of value
1 Book dropped from list: it did not include a certain specific word and thus proves itself to not telling the whole truth
“… Wu wei has been practiced both within and outside of existing social and political structures. In the Daode Jing, Laozi introduces us to his ideal of the “enlightened leader” who, by embodying the principles of wu wei, is able to rule in a way that creates happiness and prosperity for all of a country’s inhabitants…..”
The difference between heaven and hell:
Hell is a large banquet hall filled to overflowing with the most sumptuous foods on the face of the earth, but everyone’s arms are splinted in extra-long splints that prevent bending of the elbows; no one can pick up any of the food.
Heaven is that same banquet hall with the people wearing the same splints but, instead of starving, they simply learned how to feed each other.